Tampa Bay Lightning VS Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Match Analysis – March 26, 2025

Match Status Description: N/A

Tampa Bay Lightning VS Pittsburgh Penguins

Overview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins face off in a matchup that promises high-paced offensive action. Both teams boast elite offensive talent but come into the game with different strengths and weaknesses. Tampa Bay has been dominant at home and relies on strong goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy, while Pittsburgh has offensive firepower but struggles defensively due to key injuries. Given the recent trends, this game is expected to be a high-scoring battle.

Team Key Players

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Nikita Kucherov (RW) – One of the most dangerous offensive players in the NHL, leading Tampa Bay in goals and assists.
  • Brandon Hagel (LW) – A versatile forward who contributes in both scoring and defensive play.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) – An elite goaltender who has the ability to keep Tampa Bay competitive in any game.

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Sidney Crosby (C) – A future Hall of Famer who continues to dominate offensively with his playmaking and scoring.
  • Bryan Rust (RW) – A key winger who provides speed and finishing ability, making him a threat in transition.
  • Tristan Jarry (G) – Pittsburgh’s starting goaltender, but his inconsistent performances have led to defensive concerns.

Match Prediction: Over 5.5 Goals

Reasons for This Pick:

  1. Both teams have elite offensive talent – With Kucherov and Crosby leading their respective teams, both offenses are expected to generate multiple scoring opportunities.
  2. Pittsburgh’s defensive injuries – The Penguins are missing key defensemen Ryan Shea and Pierre-Olivier Joseph, making their defensive unit vulnerable.
  3. Tampa Bay’s recent high-scoring games – The Lightning have been involved in multiple 6+ goal games, making the over prediction a strong choice.
  4. Goaltending inconsistency from Pittsburgh – Jarry has struggled with stopping high-danger shots, which Tampa Bay could exploit.
  5. Fast-paced style of play – Both teams play aggressively on offense, leading to more shots, power plays, and high-scoring chances.

With both teams capable of exploiting defensive weaknesses, the Over 5.5 goals prediction is a strong recommendation.

Head to Head Record

2025 01 13

2025 01 13

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

5 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

2024 11 20

2024 11 20

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

2024 04 07

2024 04 07

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

5 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

2023 12 07

2023 12 07

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 1

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

2023 12 01

2023 12 01

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

Team Statistics Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning

69 Matches

69 Matches

Pittsburgh Penguins

71 Matches

71 Matches
Tampa Bay Lightning Logo
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pittsburgh Penguins Logo
Pittsburgh Penguins
1989Shots on Goal2011
50.6%Face-off%52.4%
25.77%Power Play%23.83%
1247Hits1398
1001Blocked Shots1081

Tampa Bay Lightning's Recent 5-Match Records

2025 03 24

2025 03 24

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights

4 : 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

2025 03 23

2025 03 23

Utah Hockey Club

Utah Hockey Club

6 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL

2025 03 21

2025 03 21

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 2

Dallas Stars

NHL

Dallas Stars

NHL

2025 03 18

2025 03 18

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

2 : 0

Philadelphia Flyers

NHL

Philadelphia Flyers

NHL

2025 03 16

2025 03 16

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

6 : 2

Boston Bruins

NHL

Boston Bruins

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins's Recent 5-Match Records

2025 03 24

2025 03 24

Florida Panthers

Florida Panthers

4 : 3

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

2025 03 22

2025 03 22

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

6 : 3

Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL

2025 03 19

2025 03 19

New York Islanders

New York Islanders

4 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL

2025 03 16

2025 03 16

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

7 : 3

New Jersey Devils

NHL

New Jersey Devils

NHL

2025 03 14

2025 03 14

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins

5 : 3

St. Louis Blues

NHL

St. Louis Blues

NHL

Team Roster

Tampa Bay Lightning Logo

Tampa Bay Lightning

Pittsburgh Penguins Logo

Pittsburgh Penguins

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury List:
  • Jonas Johansson
    Confirmed Absence
  • Emil Bemstrom
  • Tommy Novak
    Confirmed Absence
  • Ryan Shea
    Confirmed Absence
  • Pierre-Olivier Joseph
    Confirmed Absence
Tampa Bay Lightning VS Pittsburgh Penguins NHL

Game Prediction:

Over 5.5 Goals

Reason: 1

Strong Offensive Players on Both Sides Tampa Bay features elite scorers like …

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Reason: 2

Recent High-Scoring Games Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring m…

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Reason: 3

Defensive Weaknesses and Injuries Pittsburgh is missing key defensemen Ryan S…

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Reason: 4

Goaltending Uncertainty While Andrei Vasilevskiy is a solid goalie, Tampa’s…

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Reason: 5

Fast-Paced Playstyle and Power Play Efficiency Both teams play an aggressive,…

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Frequently Asked Questions
1. Where will the game be played?
The match will take place at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida, the home of the Tampa Bay Lightning.
Tampa Bay: Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel, Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pittsburgh: Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust, Tristan Jarry
Over 5.5 goals, based on both teams' strong offensive play and recent high-scoring games.
Tampa Bay has been involved in several high-scoring games, while Pittsburgh has struggled defensively due to injuries.
Tampa Bay: Jonas Johansson (Personal – Out)
Pittsburgh: Ryan Shea, Pierre-Olivier Joseph (Upper Body – Out)
Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh have historically played close, high-scoring games, with both teams having multiple wins in their last meetings.
The most popular insights include:
Over/Under 5.5 goals (Recommended: Over)
Win/Draw/Win (Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home)
Player goal scorer insights (Kucherov and Crosby are top options)
Both teams feature elite offensive talent, and with Pittsburgh’s defensive injuries, this game could see a lot of scoring chances.
Tampa Bay has one of the most efficient power-play units in the league, while Pittsburgh also has a strong conversion rate when given opportunities.
The game will be broadcast live on major sports networks and available for streaming on NHL platforms.

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